Macquarie CFO to leave, RBA rate cuts, climate change ruling

Good morning everyone, it's Ben here in chilly Melbourne, here's what's making headlines today.Today's must-reads:• Macquarie CFO stepping d
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Good morning everyone, it's Ben here in chilly Melbourne, here's what's making headlines today.

Today's must-reads:
• Macquarie CFO stepping down
• Fortescue iron ore shipments hit quarterly high
• Australia to ease restrictions on US beef imports

What's happening now

Macquarie Chief Financial Officer Alex Harvey will step down effective December 31, the financial group announced alongside its first quarter trading update. Harvey will retire from mid-2026 after handing over to his successor Frank Kwok.

The Australian government has announced it intends to remove restrictions on US beef imports in a bid to appease President Donald Trump, who had highlighted Canberra's biosecurity measures as an unfair impediment to trade.

More rate relief in sight: Economists expect Australia's central bank will deliver three more interest-rate cuts by early 2026, up from the two seen previously, bringing its cash rate to 3.1% in the first quarter of 2026, from 3.85% now. The Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock will be speaking at an event in Sydney just after 1 p.m. on Thursday.

Michele Bullock, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia. Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg

Still on the RBA: Communication has been a basic tool of central banking for decades, but it can be a tricky thing to get right. The message sent has to be clear — and received. Australia's central bank needs to do much better, writes Bloomberg Opinion's Daniel Moss.

Fortescue's shipments of iron ore rose 4% from a year earlier in the fourth quarter to a record high. The Australian miner exported 55.2 million tons of the steelmaking material over the period, taking full-year volume to 198.4 million tons.

Glencore's on track to close its last two copper mines in Mt Isa, Queensland, next week, ahead of a decision on whether to also shutter a smelter at the same complex, and an associated refinery in a coastal town.

What happened overnight

Here's what my colleague, market strategist Mike "Willo" Wilson says happened while we were sleeping…

Stock markets rose globally after the US made a trade deal with Japan. The S&P 500 hit another all-time high amid hopes for a similar deal with the European Union. With global optimism bubbling, demand for "safe haven" investments like the US dollar and government bonds eased. Meanwhile, commodity-linked currencies like Aussie and kiwi dollar strengthened, with the Aussie hitting a new 2025 peak. Today, lunchtime speeches from the RBA and RBNZ could impact local interest rates and currencies. Australian shares are expected to open higher.

Vanuatu, one of the world's most vulnerable countries to the fallout from climate change has won a landmark legal battle, giving countries new ammunition to pursue some of the planet's biggest emitters.

Partially submerged beach huts in in Port Vila, Vanuatu, in July. Photographer: Annika Hammerschlag/AP Photo

More on tariffs: President Trump suggested that he would not go below 15% as he sets so-called reciprocal tariff rates ahead of an Aug. 1 deadline, an indication that the floor for the increased levies was rising.

Tesla fell short of Wall Street's expectations in one of the automaker's worst quarters in years, a sign of the toll that rising competition and a backlash against Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk have taken on the company. Read our blow-by-blowcoverage of Tesla's earnings call here.

What to watch

All times Sydney:
• RBNZ Chief Economist Paul Conway talks tariffs in Wellington (11:30 a.m.)
• Speech by Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock in Sydney (1:05 p.m)

One more thing...

Move over Brisbane — Qatar has confirmed it will bid for the 2036 Summer Olympics, trying to become the first Middle Eastern nation to host one of the world's biggest sporting events. However the field for the Olympic and Paralympic Games is likely to be competitive, with Istanbul, the Indian city of Ahmedabad, Nusantara in Indonesia and Chile's capital of Santiago all bidding too.

Photographer: Fabrice Coffrini/Getty Images
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