The right side of the birthright citizenship argument

The Supreme Court stands up to Trump.
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Today's Agenda

Getting to the Bottom of Birthright Citizenship

After today's oral arguments, on a scale of one to 10 — one being "no shot" and 10 being "absolutely" — how likely is it that the Supreme Court will strike down President Donald Trump's executive order to end birthright citizenship?

You're free to make your own judgement by listening to this bonkers exchange between Justice Brett Kavanaugh and Solicitor General John Sauer, but judging from this dispatch, it sounds like Noah Feldman is at a solid nine.

"Ultimately, it's extremely likely they will strike it down as violating the Fourteenth Amendment, probably sometime next year," he writes in his column. In fact, he — and others — are pretty surprised that the Department of Justice even took it to court.

This case is "obvious as a matter of law," Noah argues. "The Fourteenth Amendment grants birthright citizenship. It says so right in the text and precedent going back to 1898." But then what to make of this Truth Social post — more like essay — from Trump this morning?

Are we a STUPID Country full of SUCKERS getting SCAMMED? Perhaps our resident historian Justin Fox — who is deeply familiar with the 14th Amendment's origin story, having recently pored over the congressional debates on the citizenship clause — can shed some light on the matter.

After the Civil War, he says, Republicans were in fact worried that the 13th Amendment — which banned slavery — wouldn't be enough to protect Black Southerners from being treated like slaves. Senator Lyman Trumbull proposed adding a new line to the Civil Rights Act:

"All persons of African descent born in the United States are hereby declared to be citizens of the United States."

That does sound like it has to do with "the babies of slaves," as Trump notes. But a day later, Trumbull offered a new version:

"All persons born in the United States, and not subject to any foreign Power, are hereby declared to be citizens of the United States, without distinction of color."

This language sparked "concerns about granting citizenship to the children of Chinese immigrants," writes Justin. That alone proves that even back then, lawmakers were acutely aware that the clause wasn't merely about the descendants of former slaves. And most of them came around to the idea, save for President Andrew Johnson, whose veto of the Civil Rights Act of 1866 was overridden by Congress.

More than 150 years later, there is another dissenter in the White House. But birthright citizenship has endured for a reason: It makes America a vibrant melting pot, fueling the economy and the culture and everything in between. "A mere executive order shouldn't be enough to end that," Justin concludes. Read the whole thing.

Bonus Immigration Reading: What would motivate you to self-deport? A thousand bucks and a free flight? The threat of jail in, say, Libya? These kinds of tactics reveal a desperate White House. — Patricia Lopez

Nuclear Dust

"I'm sort of hungry." "I'm sort of tired." "I'm sort of cold." These are ordinary phrases you might hear often from friends or colleagues.

But it's not every day that you hear the president of the United States say he "sort of" made a nuclear deal with Iran. What does that even mean? Did the pen run out of ink? Did someone lose their connection on Zoom?? Trump has been gallivanting around the Middle East saying how "very happy" he'd be if he could make a deal with Iran, but a deal this is not.

"They're not going to make — I call it, in a friendly way, nuclear dust. We're not going to be making any nuclear dust in Iran. And we've been strong. I want them to succeed. I want them to end up being a great country, frankly. But they can't have a nuclear weapon. That's the only thing," Trump told reporters today at a business roundtable in Qatar.

If you're lost on the whole "nuclear dust" thing, let me direct you to Andreas Kluth's latest column on uranium.

Apparently, Iran has cooked up a crazy plan to avoid being bombed by Israel and sanctioned by the UN: "They want to work with their enemies, not against them, to build Iran's nuclear program," Andreas explains. "At first blush, the idea seems outlandish. How could mortal enemies (Tehran's theocracy is based in large part on wishing death to America as well as Israel) collaborate around the very material that has brought them to the brink of war? At second glance, though, the notion's sheer audacity — let's call it chutzpah — may be exactly what these nuclear negotiations need to get unstuck."

Although Trump appears to have written off the idea, maybe it's worth revisiting before his "sort of" deal is set in stone.

Bonus Defense Reading: Investors are reassessing China's military capacity and potential as an arms exporter. — Shuli Ren

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MAGA Babies

Elsewhere in outlandish-yet-semi-promising ideas, you have this Easter egg in Trump's $4 trillion tax bill, which says every baby born between 2025 and 2029 will get $1,000 from the government in the form of a "MAGA account," or "Money Account for Growth and Advancement." Interesting! Sounds awfully familiar to those "baby bonds" that Senator Cory Booker proposed way back 2018, no?

Allison Schrager has thoughts: "I find all of this sort of strange. To me, the main purpose of government is to create an environment in which citizens can thrive on their own. Giving everyone a check on day one seems to cut against that. That said, many young people are in fact burdened by the high cost of education or can't afford a home. ... So it's undeniable that many young people today would've benefited from a MAGA account. At the same time, the rising cost of both housing and education is the result of government policies which subsidize demand and restrict supply, bidding up prices." In other words, the policy is a Band-Aid on a boo-boo that the government gave to itself.

MAGA account or not, schoolkids in Oklahoma don't have much hope for the future, if this column from Mary Ellen Klas is any indication. State Superintendent Ryan Walters thought it'd be fun to quietly slip in some new standards into a proposal that was approved by the state Board of Education in February. "Beginning this fall, teachers in all 462 Oklahoma public high schools will be required to teach students that the result of the 2020 presidential election is still in doubt — when the opposite has been proven," she writes. "While the guidelines don't say outright that the 2020 election was stolen, they urge teachers to present students with unfounded conspiracy theories."

Yikes. Something tells me this isn't going to help the state — ranked 48th in eighth-grade reading! — improve its academic standing.

Telltale Charts

It may be 2025, but Mexico looks like it's still stuck in the 1800sJuan Pablo Spinetto says less than one-fifth of shoppers are using credit cards or other digital payment methods to buy things below 500 pesos (about $25), and only 3.4% of the population use a savings account to invest. "Surely, it's just a matter of educating Mexicans about the superiority of digital transactions and the convenience of using banks to make their financial lives easier, right? Wrong," he writes. "The sad reality is that making Mexico a financially inclusive economy on par with neighbors such as Chile and Brazil may take decades."

Quick: What does the acronym SRM stand for? No Googling. Socially Reclusive Moths? Socks Routinely Missing? Spicy Radish Mayo? No, no and, sadly, no. Lara Williams informs us that it stands for Solar Radiation Modification, a newfangled solar geoengineering technology that could eventually end up "dimming the sun," in her words. The hope, she writes, is "that it is never deployed. It isn't a climate solution. But it's clear that the field is progressing. With many difficult conversations ahead of us, even those of us who find SRM distasteful should push for rigorous, transparent research."

Further Reading

Each confrontation between India and Pakistan is more dangerous than the last. — Bloomberg's editorial board

The US economy is losing its integrity because of Trump's tariffs. Is it too late to save it? — Matthew A. Winkler

Ignoring heat waves in Texas and torrential downpours in the Midwest won't make them magically disappear. — Mark Gongloff

Washington is selling energy insurance against itself. You can't make this up. — Liam Denning

Trump's Big, Beautiful Bill is here, and while it's certainly big, bond markets don't think it's beautiful. — John Authers

Bakeries that make croissants as good as those in Paris?! It sure feels like Britain wants to turn into France.  — Adrian Wooldridge

The latest controversy over UK national insurance suggests the tax should be abolished. — Matthew Brooker

ICYMI

UnitedHealth can't catch a break.

Trump has beef with Tim Cook.

A baby is healed with custom gene-editing.

Ben & Jerry's co-founder got arrested.

NYU is withholding a diploma.

Kickers

"I have decided never to go outside again."

Lorde isn't afraid to speak her mind.

BookTok's latest dystopian drama.

Trump Burger is proliferating.

Charli XCX gave fans a big gift.

Notes: Please send spicy mayo and feedback to Jessica Karl at [email protected].

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