Brussels Edition: A trio of elections

Romania will the most closely watched in this weekend's trio of high-stakes elections
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Welcome to the weekend issue of Brussels Edition, Bloomberg's daily briefing on what matters most in the heart of the European Union. Join us on Saturdays for deeper dives from our bureaus across Europe.

WARSAW — Poland's presidential hopeful Karol Nawrocki had a simple message when he welcomed Romanian ultra-nationalist George Simion to his rally in an old mining town of Zabrze this week.

"Donald Trump supports him," he told a cheering crowd.

While the statement smacks of bluster, Simion is neck-and-neck in a decisive presidential round tomorrow against a centrist mayor.

Nawrocki, who got his handshake with Trump in the Oval Office earlier this month, is making his own bid when the Poles cast their ballots in the first round of the election on the same day.

Karol Nawrocki, during a political rally in Garwolin, Poland, on May 5. Photographer: Omar Marques/Getty Images Europe

The contests will again test how resilient the EU is to a rising tide of populism that the US president has helped to unleash. In their remarks, both candidates slammed the EU and vowed not to let Brussels turn their two countries into obedient provinces.

In Portugal, which is voting this weekend in its third parliamentary elections in just three years, the coalition of Prime Minister Luis Montenegro is locked in a tight race against opposition Socialists following a far-right surge in the previous vote.

Romania remains ground zero, for now. The sudden emergence of ultranationalist candidates has wreaked havoc on the establishment that has run the country since the fall of communism almost four decades ago.

Simion's resounding victory in the first round of the election followed a decision to cancel the previous vote and to ban its winner Calin Georgescu from participating over allegations of Russian meddling.

The whole experience left Romania reeling. The country lost its prime minister and is trying to contain weakening currency as political instability and concern about its shaky finances prompted investors to take fright. The Trump administration is also on its case over the cancelled election.

Simion, meanwhile, who is banned from entering Ukraine and opposes military aid for Kyiv, may soon end up representing his country at NATO and EU summits. Unless, of course, he's stopped by Bucharest Mayor Nicusor Dan, his main contender in the run-off.

George Simion, left, with Calin Georgescu in Mogosoaia, Romania, on May 4. Photographer: Andrei Pungovschi/Getty Images Europe

Another mayor, this time of Warsaw, is holding the fort in Poland. Rafal Trzaskowski may face Nawrocki as the field of 13 candidates narrows to a two-person race in a potential June 1 run-off.

The stakes in the race are still high. Poland has managed to stop the nationalist march after the coalition of Prime Minister Donald Tusk unexpectedly won parliamentary elections in 2023. Tusk promised to fix the country's democratic institutions following eight years of rule-of-law infringements under Law & Justice party, but his effort were thwarted by President Andrzej Duda, a holdover from the previous administration.

Like Romania, he needs a mayor to stem the tide.

Piotr Skolimowski, team leader for Central and Eastern Europe economic and government coverage

Weekend Reads

UK and EU Haunted by Old Divisions on the Road to a New Deal

The mood music at Monday's UK-EU summit will be upbeat. Britain and Europe are friends again, inseparable partners in a world thrown into turmoil by Trump and Vladimir Putin. But the at-times-fraught path to next week's meeting shows it will take more than that to make old feuds disappear.

Serbia's Embattled Leader Looks to Leverage Trump Family Ties

A tram passing the former army headquarters in Belgrade. Jared Kushner, Trump's son-in-law, wants to turn it into a hotel complex. Photographer: Oliver Bunic/Bloomberg

Evidence of a turbulent history is never far away in Belgrade. In a small park, fresh flowers lie at the foot of a statue of Gavrilo Princip, the assassin who triggered World War I. A block away, the remains of a building hit by NATO in 1999 stand preserved in their shattered state. The conspicuously untouched site of the bombed-out former Yugoslav military headquarters is now slated to become a shrine of a very different kind: a commemoration of Serbia's deepening ties to Trump.

Trump's Trade War Spares an Industry Europe Rules: Hearing Aids

Just northwest of Copenhagen, a cluster of small towns surrounded by trees and lakes is home to three of the world's biggest hearing-aid makers.  The area's outsize control of the market, which has helped Denmark earn the moniker "Silicon Valley of Sound," seems set to endure after devices for chronic disabilities were among the rare segments to escape the Trump tariff burn.      

Power-Hungry Data Centers Are Warming Homes in the Nordics

When Finnish engineer Ari Kurvi takes a hot shower or turns up the thermostat in his apartment, he's tapping into waste heat generated by a 75-megawatt data center 5 kilometers away. Since it began operation about a decade ago, the facility has provided heat for the town of Mantsala in southern Finland, cutting energy costs for residents and helping to blunt the environmental downsides associated with power-hungry computing infrastructure.

This Week in Europe

  • Monday: UK-EU summit in London hosted by by Prime Minister Keir Starmer and attended by European Council President António Costa and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen; EU releases spring economic forecast
  • Tuesday: EU defense ministers meet in Brussels
  • Wednesday: EU-African Union ministerial meeting
  • Thursday: EU industry ministers meet in Brussels

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