EV makers rush to lock in buyers

The rush before US incentives expire |
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Today's newsletter looks at the rise of the sub-$100 EV lease as federal incentives wind down at the end of September. You can read and share a full version of this story on Bloomberg.com. For unlimited access to climate and energy news, please subscribe

Now or never EV deals?

By Kyle Stock

A Mercedes EQB starts at $53,000 in the US, but at the moment, the swanky SUV is one of the cheapest cars in the country.

In July, Mercedes dealerships were leasing the EQB for $352 a month, including the down payment, more affordable than nearly every other car in the country, according to Edmunds.com. In fact, on a list of cheapest leases, the EQB is third, one of five EVs parked in the top 10 slots.

Affordability, or the lack thereof, has long been a major stumbling block for electric vehicle adoption. But with a wave of deeply discounted offers, EVs on average are cheaper to lease than gas-powered cars. All told, the average EV lease works out to $624 a month (including a down payment), compared with $670 for internal-combustion cars and trucks, according to Edmunds. Though for certain cars at certain dealerships, bargain hunters can find a monthly payment below $100.

"I always hate to say 'it's unprecedented' with the auto industry, but we've never really seen anything like this," said Kevin Roberts, director of industry analytics at CarGurus, an online listings platform.

Indeed, car companies are offering screaming deals on battery-powered machines in a push to lock in loyal customers before losing federal tax credits of up to $7,500 per transaction at the end of September. The low prices are also intended to move a backlog of machines before next year's models start rolling off assembly lines en masse. Much of the current inventory is made up of machines that were made before tariffs drove up their cost, so there's more room to discount while maintaining some margin.

Leases now comprise nearly three out of four EV transactions and that's largely by design. Car dealerships and buyers alike realize that lease contracts have fewer restrictions when it comes to qualifying for federal subsidies. And for the wide swath of drivers who are both curious about and skeptical of EVs, a lease is far easier to swallow than an outright sale.

"Leasing is the least worrisome path to testing the waters on new technology," said Edmunds.com analyst Ivan Drury. "People fear battery degradation, poor residual values and being stuck with outdated tech on an outright purchase; but with a lease, you side step all those concerns."

For auto executives, leases of 24 or 36 months offer a convenient way to move vehicles without cutting sticker prices. Dealers can also bake federal, state and local incentives into the lease deal.

Hyundai Motor Co. is offering its Ioniq 5 for $260 a month after the down payment, while Volkswagen's ID.4 can be had for just $4 more. Honda Motor Co. Ltd. has gone a step further with a streamlined offer on the Prologue, its first EV: $4,800 for 24 months – $200 a month.

Some local dealers are going a step further. Emich VW in Boulder, Colorado, which has a clock on its website counting down the seconds until the federal EV tax credits end, is advertising the ID.4 for $39 a month. Stockton Honda in Stockton, California, is offering a 24-month Prologue lease for $7,500, thanks to a stack of incentives from the carmaker and the government, which works out to $313 a month.

The strategy seems to be resonating. Over the past two years, lease rates for electric vehicles have rocketed from 51% to 71%, compared with the industry average hovering around 16%, according to Edmunds.com.

Andy Small, a retired finance executive on Long Island, said he's not "a lease guy" or "a car guy," but he checked both boxes when he got a new Hyundai Ioniq 5 in July. With a stack of about $15,000 in incentives, including the federal IRA credit, the machine was far more affordable than the hybrids he was looking at from Toyota and Volvo.

"The game changes October 1, so I wanted to get it while I could," he said. "And I absolutely love the car."

Nathan Niese, global lead for electric vehicles and energy storage at Boston Consulting Group, says the current wave of EV deals is a way for carmakers to lock in loyalty among customers. Once a driver goes electric, they seldom go back to gas. And leases are particularly useful in keeping a customer in-house – making them "sticky" in sales-speak.

"There's never been a better time as an interested buyer," Niese said. "I am shouting from the rooftops to move now and it's not just because I drink the Kool Aid on EVs every day."

Come October, EV deals may be harder to find, though some states are moving to sweeten EV incentives. Already, some car companies are shifting some production away from electric vehicles. That said, there's a network effect working in favor of electric vehicles, as those who make the switch tell their friends and neighbors. Pricing in October is an unknown, according to Roberts at CarGurus, "but I rarely come across anyone who has made the move to EVs and says 'I don't like them.'"

Read the full story and subscribe to stay on top of the evolving EV market.

Price drops ahead?

$30,000
Earlier this month, Ford announced it would build a pickup truck in the sub-$30,000 range as part of an affordable line of EVs. Chief Executive Officer Jim Farley billed the new line as a bid to take on the growing global dominance of Chinese EV makers.

Clearing vehicles off the lots

"We're definitely going to see a lot of manufacturers and dealers try to create a sense of urgency."
Stephanie Valdez Streaty
Director of industry insights, Cox Automotive
Analysts at Cox expect an EV-buying frenzy until tax credits expire.

More from Green

Spain's Pedro Sanchez  called for a nationwide pact uniting all levels of government to combat what he called an accelerating climate emergency as wildfires raged in several regions of the country.

"The climate emergency that's ravishing the world is increasingly more accelerated, more severe and more frequent, especially in places like the Iberian Peninsula," the prime minister said on Sunday in Orense, in the northwestern region of Galicia, one of the most devastated by blazes. "We are going to propose a big nationwide pact for the mitigation and adaptation to the climate emergency."

Read More:  Spain's Sanchez Urges National Climate Pact as Fires Rage

The Iberian Peninsula this weekend became the hardest hit by wildfires that have broken out across Europe following four major heat waves this summer, with blazes breaking out from the UK and France through Greece, Italy and Turkey. Climate change has made high summer temperatures more frequent and intense in Europe, the world's fastest-warming continent. 

The heat is starting to ease across much of the peninsula, but Spain forecaster AEMET said unusually high temperatures are set to linger on Monday in the south, with red alerts in place along the eastern coast, where daytime highs could reach 44C (111F).

Read the latest on this story on Bloomberg.com. 

People run to escape the flames from a wildfire near the village of Melon, northwestern Spain, on Aug. 17. Photographer: Miguel Riopa/AFP 

Data deep dive 

By Keira Wright

Battery investors are piling into Australia, chasing profits from the world's most volatile power market by deploying storage that buys low and sells high.

Australia this month overtook the UK to become the world's third-largest market for big batteries by installed capacity, after the US and China, according to Rystad Energy. That growth is set to continue, with utility-scale battery power uptake expected to jump eightfold from 2024 levels by 2035, when most of the coal plants that form the backbone of the grid are set to retire, according to BloombergNEF.

The nation of almost 28 million is phasing out aging coal plants and aims to more than double renewable generation to 82% of the total by 2030, making it a test case for the global energy transition. A rooftop solar boom has aided the shift but also created midday power gluts, giving big batteries the chance to buy electricity cheaply and sell it back when prices rebound.

"Australia has a unique situation — or maybe you could call it a challenge — where all this surplus energy spills into the market every day," said David Guiver, vice president and general manager of trading at the local unit of Shell Plc, which has stakes in several big batteries. "That why we have seen a lot of large scale battery energy storage investment."

Worth a listen

Electricity demand is soaring, and some think the answer isn't building bigger, but smaller. That's the idea behind small modular reactors (SMRs): shrink a large and hard-to-build reactor to something that is, in theory, more manageable, cheaper and easier to replicate. 

These are early days for SMRs, with only two in commercial operation in Russia and China. Can SMRs ever become a solution for our energy needs and climate goals? Nuclear scientist and venture capitalist Rachel Slaybaugh joins Akshat Rathi on Zero to discuss. 

Listen now, and subscribe on Apple, Spotify or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday. 

The moon above Sizewell B nuclear power station, operated by Electricite de France SA (EDF), in Sizewell, UK, on Aug. 11, 2025.  Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

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