Texas raises alarms on disaster readiness

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Today's newsletter brings the latest news from Texas, where a catastrophic flood caused by torrential rains has resulted in at least 82 deaths and many missing, including children. You can read more on this story with updates throughout the day on Bloomberg.com

Over the next several days Bloomberg Green will also be focusing on extreme heat and its impacts around the world. The first in our Heat Week series looks at how wildfires are releasing a potent short-term warming agent into the atmosphere. For unlimited access to climate and energy news, please subscribe

America's disaster epicenter

By Brian K SullivanMaría Paula Mijares TorresJoe Lovinger, and Mary Hui

With such an astounding loss of life in Texas following heavy rains and flooding this weekend, politicians have been questioning whether federal, state and local officials were adequately prepared for the disaster.

Texas has been at the epicenter of extreme weather events in recent years. In 2024 alone, Hurricane Beryl knocked out power to millions, a windstorm punched windows out of Houston skyscrapers and a massive wildfire blazed across the Panhandle. The onslaught of disasters has come as warmer ocean waters and moister air, two results of global warming, add fuel to storms. 

Climate change also makes it harder to predict the speed at which disasters can spin out of control, like in the Maui wildfires that killed dozens in 2023 and the "rapid intensification" that accelerated Hurricane Milton in Florida last year.

Some politicians are raising questions over the accuracy of weather forecasts issued before the disaster.

"The amount of rain that fell in this specific location was never in any of the forecasts," Nim Kidd, chief of the Texas Division of Emergency Management, said in a briefing in which he also said the National Weather Service underestimated the severity of the storms.

The weather service, part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration under the Commerce Department, said that emergency management officials were briefed Thursday morning, a flood watch was posted in the afternoon and by 6:22 p.m., forecasters were warning of flash floods and saying rain could fall at rates of more than 3 inches per hour.

The Texas state legislature will take up the issue of warning systems in a special session, Governor Greg Abbott told reporters on Sunday.

A member of the public stands next to overturned vehicles and broken trees after flooding caused by a flash flood at the Guadalupe River in Kerrville, Texas, on July 5. Photographer: Ronaldo Schemidt/AFP/Getty Images 

At least 20.92 inches fell southwest of Bertram, Texas, about 35 miles northwest of the capital in Austin, the US Weather Prediction Center said. Two other towns reported more than 20 inches of rain and four more than 15 inches. In some areas, flooding started around midnight on Friday morning.

Many residents in the area said they didn't receive weather service warnings to their phones before 7 a.m., though reports are mixed. 

Climate change has driven more extreme rainfall around the world. A warmer atmosphere can hold more water, upping the odds of deluges like the one that struck Texas. 

Scientists haven't yet examined these floods for the fingerprints of climate change. A rapid analysis by Colorado State University climatologist Russ Schumacher shows the six-hour rainfall totals made this a 1,000-year event — that is, it had less than a 0.1% chance of occurring in any given year.

For insurers, storms are getting so devastating that they're struggling to keep pace with natural catastrophe claims.

That portends outsize consequences for Texas, which accounts for roughly a third of all damages caused by extreme weather in the US during the last 10 years.

Read the full story with updates on Bloomberg.com. For more weather news and insight delivered straight to your inbox, subscribe to the Weather Watch newsletter

Disaster capital

190
From 1980 through 2024, Texas has logged this many weather disasters costing $1 billion or more, according to the US National Centers for Environmental Information. That's the highest tally in the country. The US has stopped collecting data on these disasters after Trump started his second term.

Everything is extreme

"[Texas is] the poster child of how extreme weather is affecting us today."
Katharine Hayhoe
Katharine Hayhoe, climate scientist and professor at Texas Tech University
Speaking last year on the B loomberg Green podcast Zero, Hayhoe said Texas was seeing not just extreme precipitation, but also extreme heat and record-breaking hurricanes.

The forgotten danger of wildfire smoke

By Danielle Bochove 

Across Canada, more than 200 active fires are burning in what may turn out to be the second-worst season of blazes in 30 years.

The effects of these increasingly frequent fires transcend local communities and even national borders. Choking smoke from Canada's record 2023 wildfire season was experienced by tens of millions of people, famously blanketing New York City in a dystopian haze.

The health impacts of the bigger, hotter fires experienced in recent years in Canada, Australia, Brazil and the US — including Hawaii and Los Angeles — are only just beginning to be understood. Also, not well understood is how the black carbon contained in the smoke may contribute to global warming, especially when it finds its way to the polar regions.

Commonly known as soot, scientists fear that black carbon may play an increasingly significant role in Arctic ice loss — and by extension sea level rise and global warming. More research is still needed to understand the full effects, as my story today launching our Heat Week series explains.

A wildfire in British Columbia, Canada. Photographer: BC Wildfire Service/Anadolu/Getty Images

The way particles behave in clouds — reflecting or absorbing heat depending on their composition and altitude — is not well understood and nor are the full effects of black carbon deposited on ice sheets. But learning more matters.

The Arctic remains one of the most important planetary defenses against global warming but it's changing so quickly scientists are struggling to keep up. Feedback loops are accelerating, raising fears about tipping points — the collapse of the Greenland ice sheet is just one example. Also, coating snow and ice with black carbon may create new cascading effects that threaten to raise sea levels and further accelerate warming by reducing the ability to reflect solar radiation.

"The warmth in the Arctic, and the rate at which things are changing, is taking us beyond the boundaries of anything we've seen in thousands of years," said Drew Shindell, a professor of Earth science at Duke University.

The record 2023 wildfires were a game changer in Canada: a grim harbinger of things to come. Bigger, hotter fires propel smoke higher into the atmosphere where it's carried far and wide by fierce winds. As such mega-blazes become the new normal, understanding the micro and macro impacts of black carbon — and ways to eliminate sources — is urgent.

Read the full story on Bloomberg.com. 

More from Green

The vast tract of land off Route 85 was meant to be a symbol of Made-in-America manufacturing. A billion-dollar battery factory was going to rise, bringing thousands of new jobs. The business announced, "Get Ready Arizona," the governor said the state was thrilled and even the US president gave the project a shoutout.

But here, in the boomtown of Buckeye, less than an hour away from Phoenix, the 214-acre lot sits empty. Work on the site had started, said Shelby Lizarraga, who manages the gas station next door, " but then it went all quiet."

Four years after the fanfare, battery maker Kore Power Inc. abandoned its plans for a plant in Buckeye. The company's chief executive officer stepped down and a promised $850 million federal loan was cancelled.

Kore isn't alone in its dashed ambitions. In Massachusetts, a wind turbine cable factory set to be built on the site of a former coal power plant was scrapped. In Georgia, the construction of a facility that would have made parts for electric vehicle batteries was suspended more than halfway through. And in Colorado, a lithium-ion battery maker said it wouldn't go forward with its factory there, at least for now. 

They're among the dozens of planned green factories that have been cancelled, with more delayed or downsized, all hit by soaring costs, high interest rates and slow-growing EV demand.

Read the full story on the US's green ghost factories on Bloomberg.com. 

A plot of land for sale where Kore Power's project had previously been announced. Photographer: Caitlin O'Hara/Bloomberg

Worth a listen

When the UK handed the Labour party a parliamentary majority last July, it promised to build a new state owned energy company called Great British Energy. It's almost exactly one year since its creation, and GB Energy now has a budget of £5.8 billion to get the organization off the ground. It sounds like a lot of money, but is it? And what exactly will the organization do with all of it? On the latest episode of Zero, Akshat Rathi spoke to Dan McGrail, interim CEO of GB Energy, to find out the answers. Listen now, and subscribe on Apple, Spotify, or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.

Dan McGrail at the Sustainable Business Summit in London. Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe

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